Interactive Tool · Running & Endurance

Race Time Predictor

Predict your race finish time using the Riegel formula — based on a recent race result.

Predicted Finish Time

Training Paces

Riegel Formula: T2 = T1 × (D2/D1)^1.06. Developed by Pete Riegel (1977). Accurate within ~2% for most runners.
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Sources & Further Reading

Reviewed May 29, 2026. Tool outputs are estimates for gear fit, training, or shopping context. Confirm league rules, personal fit, and safety-sensitive decisions with qualified coaches, fitters, clinicians, or local avalanche professionals where relevant.

Use the result with current gear paths

This calculator is a starting point. Use the result alongside current TSP guides, returnable purchase paths, and deal tracking instead of retailer searches.

Recommended Gear

Race-Ready Essentials All links use our Amazon Associates tag — thank you for supporting TSP.

Nike Alphafly 3 — The fastest legal racing shoe available
~$285 Track running gear deals
Program: TSP retailer/deal path
Maurten 320 Drink Mix — Carb-loading protocol used by elite marathon runners
~$60/6-pack Track running gear deals
Program: TSP retailer/deal path
Nathan VaporAiress 2 Vest — Race-weight hydration — minimal bounce, 2L bladder
~$120 Track running gear deals
Program: TSP retailer/deal path
Garmin Forerunner 965 — Real-time race predictor, course maps, HRV tracking
~$600 Track running gear deals
Program: TSP retailer/deal path

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